The Brattle Group
Nuclear Impact on NOX Emissions in
Designated EPA Ozone Nonattainment Areas
Dean Murphy and Mark Berkman
The EPA’s recent release of ozone air quality designations augmented its previous designations, filling gaps in the identification of regions that are in nonattainment for EPA’s 2015 ozone NAAQS standards. The air quality improvements that this shows are necessary highlight the role that existing nuclear power plants play in air quality. Simply put, nuclear plants avoid air pollutants associated with fossil generation. The loss of nuclear generation increases emissions as fossil generators operate more to fill the gap. We identified and quantified this effect in several previous studies that examined the environmental impacts of nuclear plants in Ohio, Illinois, New Jersey and Pennsylvania. These studies showed that the loss of zero-emission nuclear generation would result in increased fossil generation and thus increased emissions of several pollutants, including NOX, which is both a pollutant in its own right and a precursor for ozone. Some of the NOX increases would occur within ozone nonattainment areas, just when states must develop plans to decrease pollutant concentrations in those areas. The loss of nuclear plants would increase the challenge and the cost of bringing nonattainment areas into compliance with air quality standards.
 Additional Air Quality Designations for the 2015 Ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS), April 30, 2018. https://www.epa.gov/ozone-designations/additional-designations-2015-ozone-standards